Tuesday, November 29, 2022

2022年第三季房產市場報告

隸屬財政部的國家產業資訊中心(NAPIC)發佈《2022年第三季房產市場報告》,我國整體及各州滯銷房產都有所減少,意味供需失衡問題有所改善,而檳州依然是全馬滯銷公寓單位最多的州屬。

根據報告,我國今年首季滯銷房產為3萬5592間,第二季減至3萬4092間,第三季進一步減至2萬9534間;首季至第三季減幅17.02%。

全國首3季減幅17.02%

滯銷房產總價值方面,從首季224億4700萬令吉,減至第三季199億4961萬令吉,減幅11.13%。

以州屬來看,柔佛是今年第三季滯銷房產最多的州屬,有5348間。接著依序是檳州(5222間)、雪蘭莪(4386間)、吉隆坡(3362間)、沙巴(2645間)、霹靂(2400間)、彭亨(1197間)、砂拉越(1176間)、吉打(1133間)、森美蘭(945間)、馬六甲(597間)、登嘉樓(527間)、吉蘭丹(442間)、布城(71間)、納閩(48間)及玻璃市(35間)。

以價位段來看,100萬令吉以上的滯銷單位最多,有4464間。其他價位段則是10萬令吉以下1117間、10萬至20萬令吉2215間、20萬至30萬令吉3763間、30萬至40萬令吉4389間、40萬至50萬令吉4267間、50萬至60萬令吉3571間、60萬至70萬令吉2387間、70萬至80萬令吉1013間、80萬至90萬令吉1286間及90萬至100萬令吉1062間。

全國滯銷房產類型以公寓單位佔最多,有1萬8195間;接著是兩層至三層樓排屋(4560間)、兩層或三層樓半獨立式半獨立式房屋(1518間)及單層排屋(1206間)。

根據NAPIC給予的定義,在獲得完工及落成准證後的9個月內無法售出的產業,就會被歸類為滯銷產業(Property Overhang)。

新樓盤放緩推出

檳州是滯銷公寓單位最多的州屬,有3897間,佔全國1萬8915間滯銷公寓單位的21.9%。但相較今年首季的4344間滯銷公寓單位,檳州如今的滯銷公寓單位已有所減少。

綜合各類型房產,檳州的滯銷房產數量從今年首季5816間、第二季減至5508間、到第三季進一步減至5222間。發展商這期間普遍都放緩推出新樓盤,讓市場先消化房產庫存。

北馬另兩個州屬即吉打和玻璃市,同樣呈現滯銷房產減少的趨勢。

吉打的滯銷房產從今年首季2472間、第二季減至1971間、到第三季進一步減至1133間;在房產市場相對沒那麼活躍的玻璃市,滯銷房產從今年首季67間,在今年第三季減至35間。

第三季最貴房產交易 隆公寓單位賣944.6萬

根據NAPIC報告,我國今年第三季最貴房產交易涉及位於吉隆坡的一間公寓單位,價格達944萬6000令吉。

雪蘭莪最貴的房產交易則涉及八打靈縣一間獨立式房子,價格為680萬令吉。至於檳州最貴的房產交易則是在東北縣的一宗公寓交易,價格為200萬令吉。

另外,我國房產交易中位價今年連續三季提高,從首季29萬5000令吉、第二季32萬令吉、到第三季33萬令吉,顯示我國房產市場的購買力有回升之勢。

檳州房產交易中位價也同樣呈現上升勢頭,從首季31萬3000令吉、第二季33萬令吉、到第三季34萬5000令吉。這意味在今年第三季,檳州有一半房產交易是在34萬5000令吉以下,其餘一半交易則在這價位以上。

交易中位價(Median Price)是比起平均價(Mean Price)較適當用來衡量整體房產價格的指標,因為平均價容易受到高價房產交易拉高。

Wednesday, October 12, 2022

Property launches and sales in Peninsular Malaysia drop during 1H2022

Property developers in Peninsular Malaysia reported a 26% decline in unit launches and a 5% sales drop in the first half of 2022 (1H2022) from the second half of last year (2H2021), according to Real Estate and Housing Developers’ Association.

Rehda’s survey of 150 respondents released on Wednesday (Oct 12) found that 7,843 units were launched in 1H2022, of which 45% or 3,549 units were sold in the same period.

The association’s president Datuk NK Tong, who presented the data, said sales performance has trended downwards because 50% or 5,303 units were sold in 2H2021 from the 10,665 launched units during then.

The majority of launches in 1H2022 were residential properties at 94% or 7,287 units. Commercial properties made up the remaining 6%, Tong said.

The most launched property type in 1H2022 are two- to three-storey terraced houses at 3,884 units, followed by serviced apartments (1,783 units) and single-storey terrace houses (495 units), he said.

The most sold property type in 1H2022 is also the two- to three-storey terraced houses (2,365 units), with most of them located in Seremban, Negeri Sembilan and Jasin, Melaka.

Trailing at a distance in sales are commercial units at 367 units and single-storey terrace houses at 331 units.

First-time homebuyers made up almost half of property buyers in 1H2022 at 42%, followed by upgraders at 36% and investors at 21%, Tong said.

The top purposes for bought units are for self-dwelling (46%) or for family members (29%).

Most of the residential launches in 1H2022 were priced at RM250,001 to RM500,000 (53%), while most of the unsold units were priced at RM500,001 to RM600,000 (29%).

The top reasons for unsold units are end-financing loan rejections, unreleased Bumiputera lots and either high pricing or low demand.

Many developers also struggled with financing issues (87%) in 1H2022, of which 78% of respondents faced end-financing issues for buyers and 13% faced bridging financing issues.

In terms of business operations for developers, the overall cost of doing business has increased an average of 17% in 1H2022.

He pointed out that at least 24% indicated that they are “highly affected” or “severely affected” by the current economic scenario.

Respondents said the top cost components affecting cash flow in 1H2022 are material and labour cost, compliance cost and land cost, Tong shared.

Monday, May 2, 2022

可负担屋 严重滞销

国内整体产业领域在2021年第四季总成交量达9万9462宗,比起上一季激增62.3%。

住宅产业的交易量高占整体产业总成交量66.2%,是众产业次领域当中最为活跃的一个。

整体产业总成交值则录得468亿5000万令吉,比起上季的总额激增高达30.1%。显而易见的是,我国产业领域在整体上有着非常显著的复苏迹象。

雪州住宅滞销创新高

截至去年第四季,我国仍有3万6893住宅单位滞销,涉及总值227亿9000万令吉。

雪兰莪州去年第四季住宅单位滞销数量创下6095单位的新高,超越了之前一直是全国滞销最严重的柔佛州,成为全国住宅产业滞销最多的州属。

整体而言,柔佛在这季滞销住宅达6089单位,上一季的6509单位仍是有过之而不及。

其他住宅滞销的州属,包括槟州5493单位、吉隆坡3908单位、沙巴州2933单位,以及霹雳2748单位等。

吉隆坡滞销改善

从过去几季报告观察中,吉隆坡的住宅滞销情况已大幅度改善。随着国门今年4月1日全面重开,吉隆坡的住宅产业今年有望吐气扬眉。

雪州滞销住宅从上一季的3376单位激增至6095单位,增幅高达80.5%。从这些种种迹象看来,我国发展商在对房市复苏之路的信心满满,与房产投资者的持续观望看似却大相径庭。

越来越多百万豪宅卖不出

另一边厢,售价介于100万令吉的滞销住宅从去年第三季的3748单位增至4653单位,增幅24.1%,而在总值方面则从79亿增至92亿2000万令吉。

同时,售价介于50万至100万令吉的住宅滞销数量最多,达1万1139单位。

无论如何,随着我国已步入后疫情时代,100万令吉住宅滞销情况将在今年改善,主要是海外高端人士有望再次到我国进行投资置业。

可负担屋竟占三成

始料不及的是,去年末季的滞销住宅单位当中,售价低于30万的住宅单位竟占了31.5%。

然而,像这一类可负担房屋的严重滞销情况是前所未有,这也是在过去8年来的产业评论中未曾看过的。

难以想象的是,这类房屋滞销数量从7743单位飙升至1万1610单位,涉及总值21亿8000万令吉。

供过于求?

整体上,售价低于30万的滞销住宅单位从第三季到第四季竟暴增了49.9%,情况的确是令人感到担忧,毕竟过去几年,我国政府一直主打可负担房屋政策,除了之前拥屋计划(Home Ownership Campaign,简称HOC)的10%折扣优惠(直到2021年底),还有印花税减免等种种刺激房产销售措施。

然而,如今这类售价低于30万的住宅单位严重滞销,显而易见的是,可负担房屋在我国已严重供过于求。

有鉴于此,政府应重新检讨可负担房屋政策,包括是否必要兴建更多可负担房屋,抑或是探讨新方案,以刺激可负担房屋的销量。

Friday, April 29, 2022

Large supply of prime high-rise residential units expected for 2022 - JLL


An influx of prime high-rise residential properties is expected in 2022, adding further pressure on capital values, according to JLL Property Services (M) Sdn Bhd as reported by The Sun Daily on Apr 27.

The daily quoted researcher and consultant Eva Soo, who during a webinar at the JLL Q1'22 Real Estate Market Perspective said that the incoming large supply is mainly due to delays in completion over the past two years due to the economic restrictions brought on by the pandemic.

She added that this will lead to an increase in unsold properties over the next few years before the market adjusts itself. However, the present all-time-low interest rate of 1.75% would encourage investors to return to the market.

The capital value stood at RM953 psf as of Q1 2022, while the average asking rent at RM2.95 psf per month.

According to JLL Greater Kuala Lumpur property market monitor Q1’22 report, residential capital value growth declined 2.5% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) and average rent declined 2.3% q-o-q.

The market yield was at 3.02%, generally lower than other asset classes.

Prime high rise residential stock in Greater KL, covering KL City and extending towards Mont'Kiara, Damansara Heights, Bangsar, and Mid Valley was 51,000 units.

Additionally, the overall unsold rate is still considered quite healthy at 3.55%, said Soo.

Meanwhile, the ending of stimulus packages such as the Home Ownership Campaign and loan moratorium has led to a reduction in demand.

“The ending of the incentives has limit the demand for the residential market, but only for a very short term when talking about prime high rise residential,” said Soo, adding that the zerorisation of Real Property Gains Tax has encouraged many property owners to put their property on sale in the secondary market.

“As we see an increase in the primary market and at the same time, probably supply in the secondary market, capital values will likely compress quite a bit in this year," she noted.

Sunday, April 24, 2022

Softer new launches; rise in residential overhang

 Transaction volume of properties rebounded in 2021 following a contraction in 2020. Based on the National Property Information Centre’s (NAPIC) Annual Property Market Report 2021 this month, property transaction volume increased

modestly by 1.5% YoY to 300,497 units in 2021, driven by higher number of transactions in residential, commercial and industrial properties (Exhibit 2). This was 91% of the pre-pandemic level in 2019. Although this represented a moderate annual increase in transaction volume, the property transaction value in Malaysia rose to RM144.9bil in 2021, the highest level since 2017 (Exhibit 3). The stronger growth in transaction value was contributed by higher percentage of transactions in residential and industrial properties priced over RM1mil.

By state, Selangor is largest contributor to the total property market transaction volume at 20%, followed by Perak and Johor with 12% each.

 Lowest residential new launches since 2007. In 2021, Malaysia’s property market saw the lowest number of new residential unit launches at circa 44,000 units since 2007 (Exhibit 5). Developers pulled back on new launches due to a softening property market and higher unsold inventories, resulting in a 6.7% decrease in new launches compared to 2020.

On a positive note, the sales performance of new launches improved to 39% in 2021 from 29% in 2020. We expect the conservative trend of property launches to continue in FY22F as most of developers (except Mah Sing Group and Lagenda Properties) have guided prudent sales targets for FY22F which were lower than FY21 actual sales. Selangor had the highest number of new launches in the country, followed by Johor and Perak (Exhibits 6 & 7).

 New residential launches dominated by terraced houses. In terms of types of property, terraced houses (60.1%) dominated new residential launches. This was led by single-storey houses (10,667 units), followed by 2-to-3-storey terraced houses (15,705 units) and the launch of high-rise properties, mainly condominiums/apartments (12,018 units). The latter made up a share of 27.4%.

 Rising residential overhang contributed largely by high-rise properties. YoY, residential overhang rose to 24.7% to 36,863 in units and RM22.8bil (+20.5%) in value as at December 2021 (Exhibit 8). Selangor still has the largest residential overhang. This was followed by Johor, Penang and Kuala Lumpur (Exhibit 10).

In terms of the overhang by type of properties, condominium/apartment units were the highest at 20,505 (55.6% of the total) followed by terraced houses at 7,839 (21.3%).

 Selected developers fared well in the affordable segment. The affordable housing projects of Mah Sing Group (Mah Sing) and Lagenda Properties (Lagenda) have achieved good take-up rates for their recent projects due to the fact that the projects are at strategic, established and underserved locations.

 Luxury high-rise property remains a concern. The overhang status in residential properties priced between RM500K and RM1mil is concerning, accounting for a significant share of the nation’s total residential overhang in units (30%) and value (33%) (Exhibit 9), with the bulk of them in high-rise residential properties. Meanwhile, serviced apartments accounted for 73.2% of the commercial property overhang in Malaysia.

 Diversified portfolios to mitigate the impact of residential overhang which is largely made up of high-rise units. The majority of developers under our coverage (except Mah Sing and Lagenda) have more than half of their properties priced above RM500K in their portfolios. However, with a diversified portfolio and stronger focus on landed properties with prices below RM1mil, these developers are seen as able to mitigate the impact of the residential overhang which comprised largely high-rise units.

 Lower impact on landed projects in Johor from stricter Malaysia My Second Home (MMSH) programme. Generally, foreign buyers tend to purchase apartments and rarely opt for landed properties in Johor. Hence, we believe the stricter criteria for the MMSH programme and the oversupply of high-rise residential units in Johor have lower impact on Johorbased developers such as UEM Sunrise (UEMS) as the company focuses more on landed property development. UEMS’ recently launched landed properties projects in Johor (Serimbun, Aspira ParkHomes, Aspira Gardens, Senadi Hills) have been well received with take-up rates ranging between 73% and 100%.

 Marginal increase in house prices. In 2021, the Malaysian House Price Index (MHPI) rose slightly by 0.6% YoY to 201.5 points (Exhibit 11). Continuous demand for terraced houses supported the stable growth in the Terraced House Price Index of 2%, while there a slight decline in the price indices for High-Rise (-0.2%), Semi-Detached (-0.1%) and Detached (-3.3%) Houses. In 2022, we expect property prices for new projects to increase at a higher rate as some of the developers (whom we have recently met through virtual meetings) plan to pass on a portion of the cost increase of building materials to buyers in order to preserve their margins.

 We reiterate our NEUTRAL stance on the property sector. In 2023, we expect a gradual recovery in property transaction volume with improved market sentiment post-lockdowns and higher property demand following the reopening of international borders. However, we expect property developers’ operating margins to be compressed in 2022 as a result of a prolonged supply chain disruption which has led to heightened building material costs. We are also concerned on the pre-existing affordability issue in the housing market, which has intensified since the Covid outbreak as consumers’ disposable income has been impacted.

 Our top BUY is Sunway (fair value RM2.27) given the strong brand recognition established by its highly successful landmark developments and expanding healthcare business, supported by substantive unbilled sales and outstanding order book. We like Lagenda (FV RM1.90) due to its focus on underserved landed affordable housing development in second-tier states with a large population of B40 and M40 income groups. We also like Mah Sing (FV RM0.93) for its focus on affordable housing developments at strategic locations as well as its savvy execution and quick turnaround business model.


NAPIC:去年逾220亿房产滞销

大马投资银行(AmInvestment Bank)引述马来西亚国家房产资讯中心(NAPIC)数据,2021年全年有逾220亿令吉的滞销房产,比2020年冠病第一年多了将近25%!其中,又以公寓的滞销情况最为普遍,比率超过所有滞销房产的一半。

滞销房产中雪州占最多

大马投资银行指出,2021年全马共有3万6863间房产滞销,总值达22亿8000万令吉,比2020年增加24.7%,其中又以雪兰莪有最多滞销房产,接着是柔佛、槟城与吉隆坡。

在总值逾220亿令吉的滞销房产中,超过一半是公寓与组屋,滞销数量达2万505间,占所有滞销房地产的55.6%,接著是排屋有7389间,占21.3%。

至于房价方面,该银行指50万至100万令吉的滞销房产已经达到令人担忧的情况,约占滞销房产的30%,其中又以高端房产占最大宗。

“另外,服务式公寓的滞销情况也相当严重,占了73.2%滞销房产比率。”

大马在2021全年仅进行了约4万4000间房产交易,是2007年以来最低的纪录。

由于市场买气低靡,因此发展商纷纷推迟新房产计划,导致去年全年的新房产项目,比2020年减少6.7%,不过新房产的买气却比2020年的29%更高,达39%。

Thursday, April 21, 2022

A guide on rental income tax for residential properties

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With a fast approaching deadline on April 30, many will be rushing to complete our tax filing. As you tick off your checklist, you may wonder if you have missed out any taxable items. If you are a property owner who have leased out your premises, do you know you need to declare your rental income as well? 

For those who are unaware, here are some tips in navigating through rental income taxation. 

What is rental income tax? 

Having bought properties for investment purposes, you may mistake the rental returns as investment gains that are tax-exempted, but unfortunately, any rent received is to be declared as taxable income. 

Set under a separate category, rental income tax comes with its own progressive tax rates that range between 0% and 30%. It is also calculated on a net basis, where all claimable expenses can be deducted.

What are the deductible expenses?

From the total payments you receive from your tenant within the assessment period, you are entitled to some deductible expenses:

  • Assessment tax 

  • Quit rent

  • Fire insurance premium

  • Expenses incurred on rent collection

  • Expenses incurred on rent renewal

  • Expenses on repairs and property maintenance

  • Interest on home loan

  • Maintenance fee for strata properties

Landlords, take note that these expenses are only claimable with a legal tenancy agreement. Don’t forget to keep the original receipts for all the claimable expenses. 

How to calculate net rental income

Your net rental income is derived after deducting the amount you have spent on the property’s upkeep as listed above. 

As an example, let’s say you have leased out your condominium unit with a monthly rental of RM1,000 for a one-year tenure. If the tenancy agreement starts from January 2021, you will calculate the contract term until year end. If the tenancy starts in February, then the taxable term is 11 months. You have also spent on an annual fire insurance for RM150, assessment tax for RM500, quit rent for RM50 and property repairs of RM5,000. 

Gross rental income

Rent per month

RM1,000

 

Tenancy starts in January

12 months

Deductible expenses

Fire insurance

RM150

 

Assessment tax

RM500

 

Quit rent 

RM50

 

Property repairs

RM5,000

Deductible total

 

RM5,700

Net rental income

(Monthly rent x contract term) - Deductible expenses.

 

(RM1,000 x 12) - RM5,700

= RM6,300

 

Based on the example above, RM6,300 is the amount taxable under rental income.

Are there any tax incentives? 

You may have heard of tax incentives, where special deductions are given to landlords who give at least 30% rental discounts to their tenants to tide them through the Covid-19 pandemic.

While the incentives earlier covered only rental reductions provided for small and medium enterprises (SME) from April 1, 2020 to March 31, 2021, it was later expanded under the PERMAI Assistance Package introduced on Jan 18, 2021 to include non-SME and for a period up to June 30, 2021.

However, the “non-SME” refers to businesses such as “a bazaar lot, stall, vehicle park, storage warehouse” (https://lom.agc.gov.my/ilims/upload/portal/akta/outputp/1709370/PUA354_2021.pdf), and not residential leases. 

So the answer is no, there are no exemptions for residential rental income. So, remember to file your taxes accordingly if you want to avoid any penalties from the Inland Revenue Board (LHDN).

Monday, January 17, 2022

保修期满房屋下沉,可告?

房屋受到广泛损坏,是因为房子下沉了。

在缺陷保修期(Defect liability period)过后,买方或购屋者能否就手工是否精细的问题,起诉发展商、建造商?买方是否能因为缺陷而终止买卖合约?

在 Teh Khem On & Anor. V. Yeoh & Wu Development Sdn. Bhd. & Ors 的案件中,高庭认为,缺陷保修条款并不会剥夺对在缺陷保修期内无法发现的此类缺陷,而提出诉讼的权利。

案情摘要:保修期满房屋下沉

1 原告签订房屋买卖协议,购买由第一被告(发展商兼卖方)建造的一栋双层排屋,总价为7万8500令吉(以下原稿简称 “买方”,第一被告简称“卖方/发展商”)。

2 与本判决相关的协议条款如下:

(房屋买卖协议第12条文) 所述建筑物应按照规格及有关当局或其他主管当局批准的计划,以良好手工方式建造,这些规格和计划已被买方接受和批准,正如买方在此认同……

(房屋买卖协议第23条文) 建筑物中的任何缺陷、收缩或其他缺陷,在空屋持有权(vacant possession)日(即移交屋子与锁匙当天)算起的 12个月内变得明显,并且是由于手工或材料缺陷,或未按照有关当局批准的上述规格和计划所造成(视情况而定,修改或未修改),应由卖方在收到买方的书面通知一个月内,自费进行修理和修复。

3 在领取房屋锁匙后,买方发现,房屋倾斜并正在下沉。

4 买方搬离房屋,要求解除买卖协议、退款(房屋购买价格)、违约金等。

5 买方也进一步要求,发展商针对有关房屋发展项目建筑师和工程师因设计和监督疏忽所造成的损害,作出赔偿。

6 被告辩称他们不会对此负责,因为有关损害是在买卖协议中规定的12个月缺陷保修期届满后发生的。

法庭判决:发展商须负责维修

1 关房屋的上述损坏,是由于房屋的下陷所致,主要是由于建造房屋的建筑工地填充物太厚,所造成的差异沉降,而且是由松散的粉质沙组成,不够密实。房屋下陷也是由于打桩不足所致,而且随着房屋持续下陷,房屋受到的破坏是广泛且持续的。

2 在签署房屋买卖协议后,发展商与买方已拥有合约上的直接关系。买卖协议没有规定,房屋的下陷不在合约涵盖范围以下,很明显的,发展商违反协议第12条款,该条款规定房屋必须以良好和熟练的方式建造。

3 缺陷保修条款并不剥夺对在缺陷保修期内无法发现的此类缺陷提出诉讼的权利。即使缺陷是在缺陷保修期内发现的,提供修复相同缺陷的明确补救措施条款,也不会剥夺任何买方在卖方违反合约的情况下,按照普通法享有的权利。

4 由于买方已全额支付了购买价,房屋所在的土地已经转让给买方,但房屋在完成土地转让后出现下陷,买方仅有权针对明显和隐约违反合约条款所造成的损失,要求损害赔偿,但不能解除合约。在本案的情况下,损害赔偿的衡量标准是修复缺陷的成本,即微型桩 (micro-piling)的估计成本。此外,由于调查房屋损坏原因的报告和专家的费用已得到证明,所支付的费用应被允许。

结论:买方无权解除买卖协议

1 即使是缺陷保修期过后,发展商仍需对物业的手工品质负责。

2 缺陷保修条款是对买方的额外保障,无法阻止买方在缺陷保修条款失效后,向发展商索赔。

3 对于物业的缺陷,买方有权要求损害赔偿,但无权解除买卖协议,除非有关损害本质上已经抵触房屋买卖协议,且涉及买卖协议的根本。

https://tinyl.io/5Y8O

林国强律师
林国强律师事务所资深合伙人

Tuesday, December 14, 2021

逾七成滞销单位售价逾30万 可负担房屋也过剩

我国今年第4季的房地产销售虽略有反弹,但滞销问题未解,国内仍有总值近200亿令吉的竣工单位未售出,当中超过有三分之二的售价在30万令吉以上,反映国内可负担房产也出现供应过剩的问题。

根据国家房地产资讯中心(NAPIC)数据,今年第3季,共有3万290间,总值197亿5000万令吉的竣工房屋未售出,而柔佛州(占24%)比例最高,其次是吉隆坡(20%)和雪州(18%)。

“马新社”报导,按房产类型划分,未售出的单位中有三分之二(73%)以上是高层房产,如公寓、共管公寓和服务式公寓。

NAPIC指出,根据其收集的数据,70%以上的未售出房产价值都超过30万令吉,正好是可负担房屋的正常水平,意味着该类型房产过剩。

消费者或搁置买房

国行也曾警告,我国未售出的房产数量仍将增加。这主要包括服务式公寓、小型办公家居单位(SOHO),以及地点不佳且价格在50万令吉以上的房产。滞销问题未解,加上生活成本日增,可能导致消费者搁置买房计划。

马来西亚房地产发展商公会(REHDA)指出,今年的房产行业复苏仍然不平衡,业界没能幸免于各种抗疫管制措施下的螺旋形效应。

该公会指出,在房产业即将重返复苏势头时,我国在6月1日实施为期3个多月的全面大封锁,使局势恶化。包括建筑活动和销售展厅在内的许多商业运营被迫再次停止营运,阻碍了行业及参与者的增长。

该公会指出,尽管全面大封锁于10月结束后,商业活动有所好转,但整体市场情绪依然低迷。

国人仍陷后疫情困境

虽然国内就业机会开始回升,明年工资料将有所增加,但大多数国人仍面临着疫情后遗症的艰难时期。

房地产发展商公会指出,去年疫情爆发时,一些房主因收入减少,不得不抛售房屋并缩小规模,导致今年新房和转租房的需求都受到压制。”

由于疫情继续拖延边境开放,特别是随着变种毒株奥密克戎(Omicron)的出现,航空和服务业人员仍处于困境。一些处于减薪状态的人,因生活成本不断增加,无法负担买房,因而取消买房订单。

随着储蓄的减少,以及雇员公积金局的储蓄所剩无几,商品价格的上涨让普罗大众水深火热,尤其是生活在大城市的中等收入群体,使他们短期内的拥屋愿望仍遥不可及。

Saturday, December 11, 2021

Somerset Puteri Harbour investors frustrated with returns

This article is worth to read though it was written in 2018. 

There are some lessons to learn on property investment with GRR.

With the two-year guaranteed rental returns having expired in February 2017, investors in the Iskandar Malaysia project say their returns are now close to zero. Their plight highlights some of the real risks of investing overseas, even if it is just across the Causeway.

Singaporean Victor Ng remembers the first time he cast his eyes on a potential investment in Iskandar Malaysia: It was Somerset Puteri Harbour in Iskandar Puteri (formerly known as Nusajaya) at a weekend preview in early February 2012. It was not an impulse purchase, he says. Before the purchase, he had visited the site and other projects launched in the area. “I felt that Puteri Harbour was an up-and-coming area,” Ng tells EdgeProp Singapore in a recent interview.

About 120 out of 132 units offered for sale under a sale-and-leaseback scheme were snapped up at roadshows in Singapore and Kuala Lumpur over a fortnight, according to a report by The Edge Financial Daily in Feb 24, 2012. The rest were purchased after that. A majority of the buyers (about 80%) were said to be Singaporeans.

Somerset Puteri Harbour is a 204-unit serviced apartment project located on the waterfront at Puteri Harbour in Iskandar Malaysia. Units ranged from studios, and one- to three-bedroom apartments measuring 762 to 1,496 sq ft, to penthouses from 3,650 sq ft. Prices of units sold ranged from RM720,000 to RM4.5 million, or an average of RM900 psf. Upon completion, these apartments would be managed by The Ascott — the serviced residence arm of Singapore-listed CapitaLand — for the first 10 years. Under the leaseback agreement, investors were offered a guaranteed rental return (GRR) of 5% for the first two years after completion.

Ng paid RM982,669 for a 1,178 sq ft, two-bedroom serviced apartment at Somerset Puteri Harbour, which he purchased off-plan. Another investor who purchased a unit at launch was Singaporean Peter Lim. “I was attracted by the Somerset brand and the reputation of the developer, UMLand [United Malayan Land], he adds. “I also liked the harbourfront locale, which is very niche, and very scarce.”

Somerset is one of the brands under Ascott Ltd, the serviced residence arm of Singapore-listed property group, CapitaLand. Ascott has a third-party management contract with UMLand to manage the operations of Somerset Puteri Harbour. “For third-party management contracts, our scope is confined to managing the operations of the properties on behalf of the property developers,” says an Ascott spokesperson in an email response.

Other than the 132 units offered for sale and leaseback, another 72 units facing the marina at Somerset Puteri Harbour were sold as condominium units without a leaseback agreement. The project was marketed by Nusajaya Consolidated, a 50:50 joint venture between UMLand and UEM Sunrise. Clear Dynamic is a subsidiary of Nusajaya Consolidated, and was set up for the purpose of the leaseback administration. Many of the buyers of Somerset Puteri Harbour purchased their units from marketing agent Norman Sia of NS Global, which has since closed its Singapore office.

Back then, many of the investors of Somerset Puteri Harbour went to NS Global’s office in Singapore to sign the sale-and-purchase agreement. It was only when they did so that they were given the leaseback agreement to sign as well. “There were three big chunks of documents,” says Ng. “Obviously, we didn’t have time to run through the entire three sets of documentation there and then. It caught us by surprise and we didn’t want to risk losing our option money.”

Puteri Harbour full of promise then

In hindsight, 2012/13 was the peak of the property market in Iskandar Malaysia. Puteri Harbour was perceived to hold the most promise: Positioned as an integrated waterfront and marina development by master developer UEM Sunrise, it spans 688 acres (275ha) in the 24,000 Nusajaya precinct, which has since been renamed Iskandar Puteri.

Puteri Harbour appealed to many Singaporean investors and developers then, as it was a waterfront residential enclave that has many of the attributes of Sentosa Cove, but at a fraction of the land and property prices. The properties there are freehold, unlike those in Sentosa Cove, which are 99-year leasehold.

The location of Somerset Puteri Harbour is ideal, as it is just a stone’s throw away from Legoland and an indoor theme park featuring popular children’s cartoon characters such as Hello Kitty, Thomas and Friends, Barney and Bob the Builder. It is within a 20-minute drive of the Second Link and a 25-minute drive of Johor’s Senai International Airport.

“Puteri Harbour was meant to be an area of intense development and strong growth,” says Dennis Ng, group managing director of UMLand. “We believe the Puteri Harbour area will continue to improve as more residents move in. With the availability of Grade-A office space and other facilities in Medini, which is just a 10-minute drive away, more businesses will also move there.”

Banking on RTS Link

From 2011 to 2013, there was a lot of excitement about greater connectivity between Singapore and Malaysia. For instance, the Singapore- Johor Baru Rapid Transit System (RTS Link) was announced in 2010 and, in January this year, Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong witnessed the signing of a legally binding bilateral agreement for the RTS Link, together with then Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak at the Istana.

The Singapore terminus for the RTS Link is to be located at Woodlands North station on the Thomson-East Coast Line, while the Johor Baru terminus will be at Bukit Chagar near JB Sentral, connecting with the Keretapi Tanah Melayu (KTM) station. The RTS Link is expected to ease congestion at the Causeway by 15%.

“To me, the biggest change is the RTS Link, which will reduce congestion in the two existing areas — the Causeway and Second Link,” says UMLand’s Ng. “The dream of living in Iskandar and working in Singapore is viable again. There are a lot of residents who moved in because of the schools, but you still need businesses and supporting facilities to come in before more people move in.”

In 2013, the buzz was the high-speed rail (HSR) between Singapore and Kuala Lumpur, which would offer a 90-minute travelling time. The designated Singapore terminus for the HSR was in Jurong East. Another proposal to ease traffic congestion was a ferry service from Singapore’s HarbourFront Centre to Puteri Harbour, where there are already customs checkpoints in place. However, the HSR has since been deferred and the ferry service, a moot point.

Ups and downs

Somerset Puteri Harbour rode the ups and downs in Iskandar Malaysia. The project was completed in November 2014, more than a year after the scheduled completion in 2013. The GRR commenced in March 2015. Typically, hotels take two to three years for their operations to stabilise. The GRR was designed “to help smooth out the cash flow during the initial years”, adds UMLand’s Ng.

During the two-year GRR period, the 5% returns were promptly paid. For a typical unit, it was RM7,552 bimonthly, or RM3,776 a month. The last payment of RM7,552 was received in January 2017 for December and January.

When the GRR period ended in February 2017, the investors did not hear from Clear Dynamic or UM Land. “For the first six months after the GRR, they just stopped paying us, but they didn’t tell us why,” says Simon Poh, one of the investors who spoke to EdgeProp Singapore. “They just didn’t communicate with us. We were left in the cold as to what was happening until a few of us contacted them and arranged for a meeting to find out what was going on.”

Poh and a business partner had made a joint purchase of a one-bedroom unit at Somerset Puteri Harbour for about RM906,000. “It’s been one year and nine months since the end of the GRR period,” he says.

A summary of bimonthly net rent paid to an owner over the 18-month period from March/ April 2017 to July/August 2018 came to a total of RM8,472.87 received. Based on the purchase price of the unit of RM982,669, the annualised return over one year is 0.57%.

On months when the rents are negative, the losses accrued are deferred to the future when profits are made.

Investors lead the charge

Investors of Somerset Puteri Harbour who purchased units under the leaseback scheme decided to call for a meeting with representatives of UMLand, Clear Dynamic and Ascott to discuss how the returns post-GRR could be improved. The first meeting was held on July 19, 2017. A second meeting was held on Oct 24, 2017. In late December 2017, the owners set up the Leaseback Owners Committee (LOC) to liaise with representatives of UMLand and Clear Dynamic. Since February this year, a bimonthly meeting has been held at Somerset Puteri Harbour with representatives of UMLand and Clear Dynamic, along with an Ascott representative.

“I requested for that,” says one Mr Chan, an investor in Somerset Puteri Harbour. “Fortunately, the managing director of UMLand, Daniel Chan, is a forthcoming and reasonable man. At these bimonthly meetings, at least there is communication. There is usually a group of four or five of us who actively participate in these meetings.”

According to an email dated Oct 29 from Clear Dynamic to investors, Somerset Puteri Harbour had “gone through a bad time” in 1Q2018 and 2Q2018. As gross operating profits were low, not all the owners’ expenses could be covered, resulting in “no distribution” to investors.

Cumulative losses after taking into consideration owners’ expenses amounted to RM603,367.92. The losses would then be deducted progressively — at RM100,000 a month from October 2018 to June 2019, where the final deduction of RM103,367.92 would be made.

Eco-system still being fleshed out

“We are trying our best, and we have gone to the extent of subsidising the returns for now to make it easier for the investors,” says UMLand’s Ng. “Even the operating expense is advanced by us, and we won’t claim it back until times are better. We know the property could be performing better if external factors improve. Puteri Harbour is a beautifully master planned area that is still in the process of being fleshed out.”

For instance, a Khazanah-linked company owns three blocks of retail, shopping arcade and F&B space at Somerset Puteri Harbour. It has remained hoarded up. “We have been trying for years to get them to open,” says Ng.

Nearby, Pan Pacific Serviced Suites at the Puteri Cove mixed-use development is scheduled to open in 2Q2019. It will have 205 studios and one- and two-bedroom serviced suites in the third tower of Puteri Cove, developed jointly by Pacific Star Development and DB2. The Puteri Cove project also comprises two other 32-storey residential towers with a total of 658 units; four low-rise SOHO blocks; and a lifestyle retail centre fronting the marina. The two residential towers have already obtained Certificate of Completion and Compliance, and is about 80% sold.

The retail centre at Puteri Cove is expected to open in 2Q2019, with the Pasar gourmet market as an anchor tenant. The One°15 marina operator at Sentosa Cove, SUTL Group, will be opening its sales gallery for its marina operations in Puteri Harbour: the private marina in Puteri Cove and a third marina for super yachts.

Some projects in Puteri Harbour have been delayed, says Edmund Tie & Co (ET&Co) CEO Ong Choon Fah. “The postponement of the HSR project has indirectly affected some of the projects located near the proposed station in Iskandar Puteri. For now, the lack of clearer policies from the new government has left uncertainties in mega developments such as Forest City. However, properties that are located in mature areas or near public transport still offer good investment in the long term.”

Ong adds that Puteri Harbour has a great waterfront lifestyle offering for residents, complete with hotels and indoor theme parks. It is also an ideal place for families with children. “However, more needs to be done — public spaces to encourage place-making — to generate higher visitor traffic and more business for the precinct. Similar to the Business Improvement District in Singapore, a special body can be set up where owners, developers and other stakeholders work together to increase the vibrancy in Puteri Harbour.”

Competitive hospitality environment

From 2015 to 2017, the number of hotel rooms in Johor Baru grew 15% to 12,300. Most of the existing hotel supply is in the mid-scale segment with 66% share, says HVS in a report on July 3.

Based on data published by Tourism Malaysia, hotels in Johor had an average occupancy rate of 57% from January to March. Meanwhile, the occupancy rate for five-star hotels was 40% from April to June; 45% for four-star hotels; and 68% for three-star hotels, according to ET&Co.

“Some hotels do enjoy high occupancy rates during weekends, as Singaporeans always fancy a weekend getaway across the Causeway,” says Ong. “The occupancy rate is also contributed by locals who visit family or friends in Singapore but prefer to stay at hotels in Johor because of the cheaper room rates.” Location and accessibility to amenities like public transport, eateries, and shopping centres is important. For example, Amari Johor Bahru and Suasana Suites Johor Bahru enjoy good occupancy rates because they are easily accessible via public transport and surrounded by shopping malls and F&B outlets, observes Ong.

Nevertheless, with the increasing competition from Airbnb catering to large groups of family or friends, it could affect both hotel room and occupancy rates, concedes Ong. For a group of six that would like to stay in Johor Baru city centre over the weekend, Airbnb offers a list of apartments or condominiums in the range of RM200 to RM500 a night, while a serviced apartment by an operator can be priced at more than RM700 a night.

On weekdays, however, hotel occupancy rates in Puteri Harbour are a little more challenging. “The hotels and serviced apartments in Puteri Harbour also face competition from condominium owners who put their homes up for short-term stays on Airbnb and other similar platforms,” says Chee Hok Yean, regional president of HVS Asia Pacific. “For long-term stays, there’s competition from houses near the area.”

‘Reasonable returns’

GRR schemes are offered to attract investors from Singapore and other countries to help increase the take-up rate in these projects. “Few projects offering GRR have been very successful, though,” says ET&Co’s Ong (see table).

“Generally, the schemes are applicable for investment properties for recurring income such as hotel or resort properties, serviced apartments, SOHO and student accommodation.

“Cautious steps have to be taken by buyers, especially in the signing of the agreements. The sale and purchase agreement is covered by the Housing Development (Control & Licensing) Act, but the GRR schemes are not governed by the Act. There are some cases where buyers sued the developers for not giving their promised rental return.”

Peter Lim, an investor of Somerset Puteri Harbour, is well aware that such leaseback schemes have lower rental returns after the GRR period. “But I am only expecting reasonable returns, for instance, 2.5% to 3% after the initial two-year GRR period,” he says. “This is less than the 4.7% mortgage interest I’m currently servicing.”

He estimates his returns to be 0.5%, a far cry from the 5% during the GRR period. Other investors are also frustrated by the returns. As such, they have grouped together to engage law firm Shearn Delamore & Co in Malaysia to issue a letter of demand to Clear Dynamic on Oct 8. According to the letter of demand, “the rental returns after the guarantee period were unreasonably and inconceivably negligible”. The owners wanted Clear Dynamic to get Ascott to “promote and market the serviced residences and deliver reasonable returns”. They have also requested for a net return of at least 2.8% a year on their investment, stipulating that it be made within three months.

Clear Dynamic, through its lawyer Soh Hayati & Co, replied on Nov 1 that they “strongly deny” the allegations made. They also point out that the investors had agreed to accept the conditions of the S&P agreement and those spelt out in the leaseback agreement “on a willing buyer, willing seller basis”. Through its lawyer, Clear Dynamic also added that the minimum net return of 2.8% “is without any justification”, and that it is not obliged to deliver those returns within the stipulated timeframe.

The investors’ lawyer responded on Nov 12 with another letter, in which it stated that, given the returns, Clear Dynamic was “expected to review the management agreement and take necessary steps to remedy the situation, and explore the possibility of a replacement service provider if necessary”.

Beyond a brand

Many of the investors at Somerset Puteri Harbour say a major factor in their decision to purchase was the brand.

“While Somerset is a trusted and established brand, investors need to look at factors beyond that,” says ET&Co’s Ong. “These are some of the risks that investors have to consider; there’s no guarantee of profits and returns.” When buying overseas, one has to consider currency risks as well, adds Ong. “If you buy in a foreign country, you will be treated differently. When investing, you have to think of the exit strategy.”

UMLand’s Ng believes things are starting to look more positive in Iskandar Malaysia. A new attraction, Sea Life Aquarium, will open at Legoland Malaysia in Medini, which should boost tourism, he adds. Although there was a lull after the shooting of two seasons of Marco Polo, the Netflix television series, more movies and television series will be shot at Pinewood Iskandar Malaysia Studios in the coming year. “This will be positive for hotel rooms in the Puteri Harbour area, but the returns will be visible only further down the road.”